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New York -- The recent dip in long-term interest rates has loan originators revving up their engines, but the new portfolio churning may look different than the refinancing of recent years.
This time, recently originated adjustable-rate mortgage loans and home-equity products may be the ones running off lenders' balance sheets.
The borrowers who are the most likely candidates for refinancing in today's market are people with adjustable-rate loans or high-cost second-lien debt, said Frank Nothaft, chief economist at Freddie Mac.
Home-equity lines of credit, he noted, are typically adjustable and are priced off of the prime rate, typically around three percentage points above prime for high-credit-quality borrowers.
That means many home-equity loans and HELOCs today carry interest rates that are higher than the prevailing rate on 30-year, fixed-rate loans, which hit a 14-month low of 5.56 in the week of June 9.
That could lead some home-equity borrowers to consolidate debt by refinancing their first mortgage in a cash out transaction and rolling their home-equity debt into the first-lien loan. Freddie Mac's quarterly survey of refinancing has already shown an increase in cash out transactions as borrowers consolidate debt or tap into their equity for other purposes, such as home improvements.
If you are a homeowner and you have a home-equity loan or a HELOC, the rate has gone up a lot. And it's probably going to go up another half a point before the summer is out, Mr. Nothaft said.