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Big Oil's Choice.(ISSUES & INSIGHTS)(EDITORIALS)(Editorial)

Investor's Business Daily

| April 05, 2005 | COPYRIGHT 2005 Investor's Business Daily, Inc. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan.  All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)Copyright

Energy: Cynics will no doubt see something sinister in ChevronTexaco's decision to buy Unocal for $18 billion. They should relax. The move is just a reflection of the cockeyed economics of today's oil industry.

With oil breaching the record $58-a-barrel level and seemingly headed higher, it's not unreasonable to wonder when the market will work its magic? When will new supply kick in to meet all this demand?

The answer, at least in the short run, may not be pretty. Just look at No. 2 oil giant ChevronTexaco's swallowing of No. 9 Unocal.

Not that there's anything particularly special about Unocal. It's just that with taxes, regulations and environmental restrictions being what they are, it's a lot easier, cheaper and less risky to buy reserves on Wall Street than to drill holes somewhere else.

Look at the chart below. In the past, when oil prices have risen, the number of domestic rigs in operation jumped sharply. This time, the rig count's up, but not by much. What gives?

Global oil demand is up. Last year it rose 3.4% -- the most since 1978, the Energy Information Administration said.

This year, demand will grow another 2.5%, thanks to booming India and China. By comparison, from 1993 to 2003 demand rose just 1.6% a year.

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