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Economic illusion strikes again.(Between The Lines)

The New American

| November 01, 2004 | Hoar, William P. | COPYRIGHT 2004 American Opinion Publishing, Inc. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan.  All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)Copyright

ITEM: A succession of hurricanes had a positive economic impact, according to USA Today for September 27. "Although natural disasters spread destruction and economic pain to a wide variety of businesses, for some, it can mean a burst in activity and revenue. For that reason, economists tallying the numbers expect the hurricanes will be neutral in their effect on the U.S. economy, or may even give it a slight boost...."

"'It's a perverse thing.... [T]here's real pain,' says Steve Cochrane, director of regional economics at Economy. com.... 'But from an economic point of view, it is a plus.' Cochrane estimates that in Florida, the state hit hardest by the storms, 20,000 jobs will be created that otherwise would not have been."

BETWEEN THE LINES: Virtually every time there is a natural disaster, pundits emerge who will erroneously commend its alleged positive destruction. They shortsightedly view one side of the equation and see only certain generated jobs, turning a blind eye to what has been lost and ignoring what would have happened without the destruction.

This "broken-window fallacy" was famously skewered long ago by French economist Frederic Bastiat (1801-1850) and retold effectively by Henry Hazlitt in Economics in One Lesson in 1946. The parable in Bastiat's essay "What is Seen and What Is Not Seen" involves a ...

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