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Agent-based analysis of smallpox preparedness performed.
2004 OCT 6 - (NewsRx.com & NewsRx.net) -- Researchers have performed an agent-based analysis of smallpox preparedness and response policy.
According to recent research published in the JASSS - the Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, "Because conjectural 'thought experiments' can be formalized, refined, and conducted systematically using computers, computational modeling is called for in situations that demand robust quantitative study of phenomena which occur only rarely, or may never occur at all. In light of mounting concerns regarding the threats of bioterrorism in general and smallpox in specific, we developed a stochastic agent-based model, VIR-POX, in order to explore the viability of available containment measures as defenses against the spread of this infectious disease."
"We found the various vaccination and containment programs to be highly interdependent, and ascertained that these policy options vary not only in their mean effects, but also in their subordination to factors of chance or otherwise uncontrollable interference, relationships which themselves fluctuate across ranges of the counterfactual distribution," said Benjamin M. Eidelson at the Akiba Hebrew Academy and Ian Lustick at the University of Pennsylvania. "Broadly speaking, ring vaccination rivaled mass vaccination if a very substantial proportion of smallpox cases could be detected and isolated almost immediately after infection, or if residual herd immunity ...
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...Lustick then helped Eidelson to further develop the paper, and it was published in the Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation in June. "Winning was a lot of fun--and I'm sure my parents will appreciate the scholarship...
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...discussed in academic settings," wrote G. Regev and colleagues. The researchers concluded: "The course uses a low-tech social simulation, rather than software simulation, so that students learn through interaction with real people, and are therefore confronted...
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- Magazine article from: Journal of Economic Issues Carrillo-Hermosilla, Javier Unruh, Gregory C. September 1, 2006 700+ words
...based model (ABM) (1) using distributed artificial intelligence (DAI) concepts drawn from the general methodology of social simulation. The model also helps expand our understanding of path-dependent technological evolution, building upon Arthur 1988...
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...characteristics and the content under consideration. A teacher may use the role-playing model to teach social behaviors, social simulation, and social inquiry models to examine social problems and solutions, assertiveness training to teach self-advocacy...
Source: HighBeam Research, Agent-based analysis of smallpox preparedness performed.