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On El Nino & the uncertain science of global warming.

Daedalus

| March 22, 2004 | Philander, S. George H. | COPYRIGHT 2004 American Academy of Arts and Sciences. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan.  All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)Copyright

Most people first heard of El Nino in 1997 when newspapers and television gave extensive coverage to various disasters associated with that phenomenon: devastating floods in California, severe droughts in Indonesia, and strange weather everywhere. Everybody became familiar with El Nino, but few realized that the phenomenon has been with us for millennia and that, at first, it was welcomed as a blessing. Originally the name was given to a modest, warm current that appears along the shores of Ecuador and northern Peru around Christmastime when the accompanying rains transform the barren coastal desert of that region into a garden. (The term is Spanish for 'the boy' and ...

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