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Bangkok Post, Thailand, Nikhil B. Srinivasan Column.

Bangkok Post (Bangkok, Thailand)

| July 04, 2002 | COPYRIGHT 2002 Bangkok Post. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan.  All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)Copyright

Byline: Nikhil B. Srinivasan

Jul. 4--The danger of making a prediction that's accurate is that one is invariably likely to be wrong at some point. Earlier in the year, I suggested that Thai exports would have a better second quarter on the assumption that the United States and Japan would show economic growth and that export prices from Japan would strengthen.

Thai exports are indeed having a decent second quarter. The May export number was up 4.3 percent year-on-year, erasing the previous month's current account deficit. That's good news for the next few months, maintaining a positive year on year numbers is about what one can and should expect -- several things contribute to this comment including an uncertain Japanese outlook and continuing US dollar weakness.

As for the SET, I ...

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