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Advantage At This Point Is Bush's In A Tug-O-War For Middle Class.(ISSUES & INSIGHTS)(PERSPECTIVE)

Investor's Business Daily

| August 02, 2004 | COPYRIGHT 2004 Investor's Business Daily, Inc. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan.  All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)Copyright

Byline: RAGHAVAN MAYUR

This election is shaping up as a battle for the hearts and minds of America's middle class -- the silent majority on whose backs the economic success of this country rests.

At this point, George W. Bush -- the plain-spoken, straight-shooting Texan -- has an edge over John Kerry among this key group, a fact that hasn't been lost on the Democrats.

Kerry, after all, selected in John Edwards -- a Methodist Southerner who feels for the plight of the common man -- a running mate who serves as a counterweight to Bush's appeal.

Both parties are zeroin in on the middle class. Without it, they know they can't win the White House. "He can't simply rely on anti-Bush fervor to get elected," said a BusinessWeek story on Kerry's battle plan. "So he's out to ease the middle-class squeeze."

Exit polls from the 2000 presidential election show that three-fourths of the electorate is either middle class or upper-middle class. More specifically, close to half of voters (46%) identified themselves as middle class and another fourth (27%) as upper middle. One in five (18%) said they belonged to the working class. Only a handful identified themselves as upper class (4%) or lower class (2%).

In that election, Bush edged Gore 49%-48% among middle-class voters and secured the upper-middle class vote by a healthy 11-point margin ( 54%- 43%).

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