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Worldwide credit conditions.(At A Glance)(Illustration)
At A Glance
March
ECONOMIC GROWTH
GDP % change from previous quarter
Q1 03 Q2 03 Q3 03 Q4 03
U.S. 0.4 0.8 2.0 1.0
Canada 0.6 -0.1 0.3 --
Mexico -0.5 0.2 0.4 --
EU 15 0.1 0.0 0.4 --
Germany -0.2 -0.1 0.2 --
UK 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.9
France 0.3 -0.3 0.4 --
Japan 0.1 0.6 0.6 --
Sources: Eurostat (www.europa.eu.int), Institute Nacional
(www.inegi.gob.mx).
U.S. BANKRUPTCY RATES
Number of bankruptcy petitions filed in federal courts and
% change from previous quarter
Q2 02 400,686 (5.7%)
Q3 02 401,306 (1.6%)
Q4 02 395,129 (-1.5%)
Q1 03 412,968 (4.5%)
Q2 03 440,257 (6.6%)
Q3 03 412,989 (-6.2%)
Source: Administrative Office of
the U.S. Courts
(www.uscourts.gov),
U.S. Business Bankruptcies Year Ending Sept
1999 38,625
2000 36,065
2001 38,490
2002 39,091
2003 36,183
Source: Administrative Office of
the U.S. Courts (www.uscourts.gov).
U.S. INFLATION
U.S. consumer price index--urban % change
June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.
0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 -0.2 0.2
Produce price index % change
0.5 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.8 -0.3 0.3
Source. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (www.bls.gov).
International Unemployment
Aug. 03 Sept. 03 Oct. 03 Nov. 03 Dec. 03
U.S. 6.1 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.7
Canada 7.2 7.2 6.8 6.7 6.6
Japan 5.1 5.2 5.2 5.2 4.9
France 9.2 9.4 9.3 9.2 9.3
Germany 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.0
UK 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.9
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (www.bls.gov); OECD
(www.oecd.org).
U.S. INTEREST RATES
Q4 03 Q1 04 * Q2 04 * 03 04 *
Federal Funds 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.40
3 mo. T bill 0.90 1.00 1.10 1.40
6 mo. T bill 1.00 1.00 1.20 1.50
1 yr. T bill 1.30 1.30 1.40 1.70
2 yr. T note 1.90 1.80 1.90 2.20
10 yr. T note 4.30 4.20 4.30 4.50
Source: Federal Reserve (www.frb.gov). * Forecast by
National City Corp. (www.nationalcity.com).
INTERNATIONAL INTEREST RATES
8/03 9/03 10/03 11/03 12/03
Short-term rates
(3-mo. interbank rates or 3-mo. CDs or T bills)
U.S. 1.08 1.08 1.10 1.11 1.10
Canada 2.99 -- -- -- --
Mexico 5.11 5.20 5.38 5.23 6.18
Japan 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 --
Euro zone 2.14 2.15 2.14 2.16 2.15
UK 3.42 3.63 3.73 3.91 3.95
Long-term rates
(secondary market yields on long-term bonds)
U.S. 5.17 4.73 5.03 5.03 4.94
Canada 4.96 4.64 4.85 ...
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Source: HighBeam Research, Worldwide credit conditions.(At A Glance)(Illustration)