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Calif. Can OK $15 Bil Bond Issue, Or Keep Using Short-Term Debt; A "no' vote on Prop. 57 would renew old tricks; belt-tightening too late.(A)

Investor's Business Daily

| March 02, 2004 | COPYRIGHT 2004 Investor's Business Daily, Inc. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan.  All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)Copyright

Byline: MURRAY COLEMAN

Californians face a tough proposition at the polls Tuesday. After years of running up red ink, the state is asking them to approve Proposition 57, a $15 billion bond measure.

Most polls suggest voters will reluctantly approve Proposition 57. But what exactly would happen if Californians reject the measure?

One thing is certain: The state has more than $14 billion worth of short-term debts. And it all comes due in mid-June.

"They've used about as many tricks as they can to deal with their mounting debt problem," said Mark McCray, executive vice president at Pimco, which runs $2.5 billion in California Muni assets.

"If they don't raise enough funds in the bond market to pay off the short-term maturities that come due in June, they're facing a true liquidity crisis. At that point, you're talking about a real state of emergency."

Voters may wonder why the state government can't simply tighten its belt and slash spending. After all, Sacramento got in this mess by ramping up spending - even as tax revenues plunged in the wake of the stock market and tech slumps. But experts say trying to raise $14 billion via spending cuts or tax hikes - in just three months -- is impossible.

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