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The Iraq Effect.

Newsweek International

| January 26, 2004 | Dickey, Christopher; Dehghanpisheh, Babak; Bahari, Maziar; Matthews, Owen; Ephron, Dan | COPYRIGHT 2004 Newsweek, Inc. All rights reserved. Any reuse, distribution or alteration without express written permission of Newsweek is prohibited. For permission: www.newsweek.com. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan.  All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)Copyright

Like a meteor crashing into a lake, the American invasion of Iraq made a lot of waves last year. Every one of the leaky, rotting regimes afloat in the Middle East had to worry it might be swamped by the cataclysm. Which would be next? Syria? Iran? Perhaps even Saudi Arabia? The old elites shuddered to think. But in geopolitics, as in physics, for every action there's an opposite reaction-- and 10 months after the first U.S. bombs were dropped on Baghdad, what we're seeing in the Middle East is nothing like the spreading circles of American influence, reform and democratization hoped for by some of the Bush administration's idealists.

There's change, to be sure, ...

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