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SMART MONEY.(economic theories for analysing the stock market)

The New Yorker

| October 06, 2003 | Cassidy, John | COPYRIGHT 2003 All rights reserved. Reproduced by permission of The Condé Nast Publications Inc. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan.  All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)Copyright

Stock markets can be puzzling things. Earlier this year, Wall Street analysts were complaining that uncertainty about Iraq was preventing a sustained rally. On Wednesday, April 9th, when the Marines entered downtown Baghdad and toppled a statue of Saddam Hussein, much of this war-related uncertainty dissipated. Yet the Dow Jones Industrial Average responded by falling more than a hundred points, to close at 8,197.94, below the level at which it was trading when the war began. If stock markets react to economic fundamentals, surely the news that the Iraqi conflict was almost over should have boosted prices. After all, a rapid military victory was seen as a precursor to ...

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