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The Best Stocks Eventually Fall; Catch Profits With Good Sell Rules.(B)(INVESTOR'S CORNER)

Investor's Business Daily

| September 02, 2003 | COPYRIGHT 2003 Investor's Business Daily, Inc. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan.  All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)Copyright

Byline: DAVID SAITO-CHUNG

When you have a good stock, hold on to it. Sell it too quickly, and one thing is certain: You forfeit the chance of making a major gain.

"After spending many years in Wall Street and after making and losing millions of dollars I want to tell you this: It never was my thinking that made the big money for me. It always was my sitting. Got that? My sitting tight!" Edwin Lefevre wrote in "Reminiscences of a Stock Operator," widely known as a biography of the early 20th century influential trader Jesse Livermore.

Research backs up this claim. As Friday's column pointed out, the average time the best 95 small- and mid-cap stocks of 1996-97 needed to go from breakout to peak was 403 days, or 58 weeks. These stocks averaged a 421% gain from their pivot point.

Holding a good stock, though, doesn't mean shutting your laptop PC and departing for a ballooning trip around the world. Stocks aren't bonds. A market top can stop a great stock's rally well short of triple-digit or high double-digit percentage gains. When a high-growth stock misses estimates by even a penny, it can tank 20% in a week.

Likewise, it's unreasonable to expect every great stock to go up for many years or decades. Let's return to those best stocks of 1996-1997. In terms of the length of the price run, those in the top 10 percentile lasted 109 weeks. The longest run was 172 weeks, or about three ...

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