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Use 50-Day Average As Late Sell Indicator.(A)(INVESTOR'S CORNER)

Investor's Business Daily

| July 03, 2001 | COPYRIGHT 2001 Investor's Business Daily, Inc. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan.  All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)Copyright

Byline: Monika Tjia

At the top of its run, a good stock often shows one or more signs of breaking down. But what should you do if you miss the first sell signals?

Keep your eye on the stock's 50-day moving average, a key gauge of a stock's price trend. If your stock crashes below it and can't recover, consider taking profits.

A 50-day moving average calculates the average closing price over the past 50 trading sessions. Plotted on a chart, it smoothes out its day-to-day price fluctuations.

A moving average displays a stock's longer-term price trend, so its timeliness as a selling indicator lags those related to a stock's daily price and volume behavior. Consider up-to-date action such as climax runs (June 15 Corner), new highs on low volume (June 18) and late-stage base breakouts (June 27) as primary sell rules. Think of a stock's 50-day as the final warning sign.

Generally avoid selling your stock right at its 50-day. Healthy stocks will often find support or trail below the line for a couple of days, then climb again. In fact, in a good market, that's a good place to buy a smaller number of extra shares and pyramid up in a winning stock.

Mutual funds and institutions use a stock's 50-day moving average to add to their positions. By buying more shares when a stock eases back to its 50-day, long-term players keep their average cost down.

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