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In Need Of A Shock.(ISSUES & INSIGHTS)(EDITORIALS)

Investor's Business Daily

| August 01, 2002 | COPYRIGHT 2002 Investor's Business Daily, Inc. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan.  All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)Copyright

The Fed: For those who needed proof, it's here: The economy has been in far worse shape than anyone thought. Shouldn't the Fed be cutting interest rates?

It seems we have a little problem. The government "missed" last year's recession. Only Wednesday, after the Bureau of Economic Analysis revised its data for last year, did we find out the economy actually went into recession earlier -- and stayed longer -- than first thought.

Instead of shrinking only in 2001's third quarter, as first reported, the economy actually contracted for the first three quarters: by -0.6%, -1.6% and 0.3%, in that order.

So forget all those columns you read this year suggesting the recession didn't even happen. And those that said the Fed's slashing of interest rates 11 times in 2001 wasn't needed. Also, forget claims by Democrats that President Bush's tax cuts, which kicked in during the third quarter, weren't really needed and created the deficit.

As it turns out, without the $40 billion the tax cuts put in the pockets of 85 million Americans last year, the economy might still be shrinking. And the deficit would be far worse.

But it goes much beyond that. The whole case against Bush's economic plan was built on the idea that he and congressional Republicans "spent the budget surplus" and sent the economy into the tank through unwise tax cuts.

It's now clear how utterly false those accusations were.

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