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Techs Halt Their Lengthy Slide As Business Spending Picks Up "Caution Is Advisable'.(A)

Investor's Business Daily

| December 03, 2002 | COPYRIGHT 2002 Investor's Business Daily, Inc. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan.  All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)Copyright

Byline: BRIAN DEAGON

The long-awaited recovery in tech stocks may be under way.

Indicators of industry health have improved in the last few months. IBM Corp., Hewlett-Packard Co. and other bellwethers beat third-quarter earnings forecasts and presented a wholesome near-term outlook.

As confidence in their prospects rose, tech stocks began to gain favor. The tech-laden Nasdaq 100 index has risen 25% since Oct. 10.

Given that stock values reflect investors' views of future earnings, the rise suggests a full-fledged tech recovery is about six to nine months off. That's also the view of industry-watchers.

"The stock market looks out six months or so, which implies a pickup in (business) spending, but I think caution is advisable," said Chuck Hill, research director at Thomson First Call.

A "Much Different' Recession

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