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Japan's Lost Chance.(ISSUES & INSIGHTS)(EDITORIALS)

Investor's Business Daily

| November 01, 2002 | COPYRIGHT 2002 Investor's Business Daily, Inc. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan.  All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)Copyright

Japan: The Japanese government's new "anti-deflation" plan was eagerly awaited around the world. Well, the waiting is over, and it was hardly worth the trouble.

On the surface, Japan doesn't seem to be in such bad shape. People still go to work. It's still one of the wealthiest nations on earth, ranking second in total GDP. It still turns out world-class goods.

And even at 5.4%, its joblessness is far below that of, say, virtually the entire European Union.

But make no mistake: Japan's economy is a mess because its banking system is. Banks aren't lending (see chart), a trend that has continued for 10 years. That has crippled Japan's economy, which grew more slowly than any other major economy during the 1990s, creating deflation in Japanese assets.

That's where the government's new plan was supposed to come in.

Japan's reform-minded economy czar Heizo Takenaka last week quietly floated a radical, far-reaching plan that would have massively reshaped Japan's banking system.

But when Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi's government unveiled the reforms this week, Japan watchers were shocked to find most of Takenaka's ideas had been cut out.

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