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How To Reset The Base Count.(A)(INVESTOR'S CORNER)

Investor's Business Daily

| November 01, 2002 | COPYRIGHT 2002 Investor's Business Daily, Inc. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan.  All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)Copyright

Byline: DAVID SAITO-CHUNG

Readers often ask: How do you reset the base count for a stock?

All investors can benefit by nailing down this concept. Why? Knowing how to count bases helps you hone your selling skills and pick new winners.

During the life of a good stock's rally, it forms a series of bases, or resting periods before the next round of new highs. The decline in the base is mild compared with the previous uptrend.

The more bases a stock builds, the higher the risk that its next breakout will flop and trigger a major sell-off. Few stocks can build a good third-stage base and rally higher.

Even fewer can etch a fourth-stage base. When this happens, everybody and his buddy knows about the stock -- a bad sign, because few new investors are around to propel the stock higher.

So when a breakout from a late-stage base fails, it serves as a key selling signal. As the stock declines, watch to see if it undercuts the low of the most recent base. If it does, reset the base count.

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