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Investor's Business Daily

| October 01, 2002 | COPYRIGHT 2002 Investor's Business Daily, Inc. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan.  All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)Copyright

Chicago, Retail Data Trip Stocks

1The Chicago purchasing and new orders indexes missed views, shoving markets down over 3% early. A brief rally cut losses to 2.3% for the Nasdaq and 1.4% for the Dow. Volume rose. Wal-Mart and department stores warned of weak sales. Ten-year Treasury yields fell to 40-year lows, boosting bonds. More on this page, A15, B2

Factories Turn Down In Midwest

2Chicago-area factory activity slipped in Sept. for the first time since Feb., a sign the sector may be headed toward a double-dip recession. Chicago's purchasing managers' index fell to a surprising 48.1 from 54.9 in Aug. Over 50 signals growth, under it, contraction. The production index also fell -- by 4.3 to 52.8. More on this page

Bonds Hint Cut; Fed Is Still Iffy

3The two year T-note, at 1.68%, undercut the fed funds rate, a sign traders expect a rate cut soon. N.Y. Fed President William McDonough said it's likely the economy "will do just fine," but added "we know what to do" if growth doesn't pick up. Dallas Fed President Robert McTeer, who voted for a rate cut, noted, "Demand is weak, growth is below potential." More on this page, A15

Retailers Cut Sept. Sales Views

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