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Spending with the Best of 'Em: The current president is no tightwad- unfortunately.

National Review

| July 14, 2003 | Hassett, Kevin A. | COPYRIGHT 2003 National Review, Inc. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan.  All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)Copyright

In the 2000 Republican primary, Steve Forbes told voters that they should reject George W. Bush because he was too liberal. He backed up his claims with statistics showing that government spending in Texas had increased by 36 percent while Bush was governor. The increase, Forbes noted, was twice that accomplished by the Clinton administration. Forbes added that Bush "talks like a conservative but he governs like a New Democrat."

Statistics generated by a political campaign should always be viewed skeptically, and Forbes certainly presented the Texas numbers with a view toward maximizing their shock value. But the charge that Mr. Bush is not wholeheartedly committed to the Republican ideal of a lean government can now be evaluated against more data. The facts are striking, and they make Mr. Forbes's warnings look prescient.

Under the current Bush budget, federal spending will have increased by 19.6 percent over the first three years of the administration. Since government spending is growing much faster than the economy as a whole, the share of our national income devoted to Leviathan has increased markedly, from 18.4 percent to 19.9 percent. Cato Institute economist Veronique de Rugy notes that this dramatic surge is virtually unprecedented in the history of government spending in the U.S. According to de Rugy's research, three of the five biggest increases in government spending in history have all occurred during the first three years of the Bush administration; the other two occurred during the Second World War. That sounds pretty bad, but even these numbers undoubtedly understate the problem, since they do not account for the huge prescription-drug benefit President Bush is working hard to push through Congress.

What components of government spending account for the increase? The biggest part of the story is national defense. Defense spending had been cut sharply under President Clinton, and Bush administration officials warned from the outset that there was a lot of catching up to do. Given the challenges facing our military in the post-September 11 world, it is necessary and prudent to increase military spending. Indeed, it is fairly common for Republican administrations to inherit from Democrats a military that has been allowed to wither. Over the first three years of the Reagan administration, defense spending increased by about the same percentage as it has under President Bush.

Bush's devotion to social programs, however, is a departure from the Reagan formula. President Reagan cut non-defense spending sharply in his first years in office; under this president, it has rocketed up. While the War on Terror is obviously part of the story, Bush has also endorsed extremely big-ticket farm and education bills, and has been unable or unwilling to halt the growth of spending in just about any corner of the budget. If a prescription-drug bill passes this year, the administration will have promoted and passed a ...

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