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Every week urban areas gain another one million people. Within four years half of the world's population will live in urban areas. How governments and communities meet the concurrent challenges of rapid urbanization, poverty, development, and protection of the natural environment will largely determine the world's future.
In the future, nearly all population growth worldwide will take place in urban areas of developing countries. By 2015, the UN projects, there will be 21 "megacities" of at least 10 million people--all but 4 in developing countries. While big cities attract attention, most of the world's urban population lives in smaller settlements.
Urban areas in developing countries are at the crux of the struggle to achieve better living standards. Worldwide, urban areas large and small have become engines for economic growth in the global economy as well as centers of diversity and change. Yet, facing rapid population growth, rising poverty levels, and often inadequate public institutions, many urban areas are hard pressed to provide infrastructure, housing, services, and opportunities. If they are not able to meet people's needs, poverty and hopelessness will increase.
How can conditions improve for the growing millions of urban residents? Meeting the challenges posed by rapid urbanization will be as important to the future as addressing rapid population growth itself has been in the past half century.
Developing World Becoming Urban
The developing world as a whole has been predominantly rural but rapidly is becoming urban. In 1975 only 27% of people in the developing world lived in urban areas. In 2000 the proportion was 40%, and projections suggest that by 2030 the developing world will be 56% urban. Although the developed world is already far more urban, at an estimated 75% in 2000, urban areas of developing countries are growing much faster, and their populations are larger.
Rapid urban growth reflects migration of people to cities as well as natural population increase among urban residents. Rural areas have virtually stopped gaining population. Among regions as a whole, only in sub-Saharan Africa and Oceania will rural populations grow at all in the future.
Source: HighBeam Research, Meeting the urban challenge.