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National Institute Economic Review articles from October 2000
Quarterly publication publishes research, commentary and forecasts on economic and social issues, includingeconomic modeling and analysis, productivity and competitiveness and education and training.
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National Institute Economic Review archives from October 2000
COMMENTARY.(U.K. economic policy)
October 1, 2000... Introduction
The early Autumn has brought two issues into focus, the taxation of motor fuel and the question of old age pensions. The debate on both of these has been coloured by the widow's cruse of the government budget. Despite the fact...
THE UK ECONOMY.
October 1, 2000... Garry Young [*]
Section I. Recent developments and summary of the forecast
By the third quarter of this year, the economy had grown for thirty-three consecutive quarters since its trough in the second quarter of 1992. Such a long...
THE WORLD ECONOMY.(Statistical Data Included)
October 1, 2000... Section I. Recent economic developments
Global demand has risen significantly this year, with GDP growth projected to have accelerated to 4 3/4 per cent per annum (on a purchasing power parity basis) from 3 1/2 per cent per annum last year...
MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY IN EUROPE: AN OVERVIEW.
October 1, 2000... Nigel Pain [*]
There are new monetary and fiscal frameworks in place for the countries in the Euro Area. The European Central Bank has a remit to maintain price level stability in the medium term, and it has developed a two pillar...
PRICE LEVEL STABILITY: SOME ISSUES.
October 1, 2000... Frank Smets [*]
This article challenges the conventional wisdom that price level targeting necessarily increases the volatility of inflation and economic activity. It shows that the optimal policy under commitment for a society that cares...
OPTIMALITY AND TAYLOR RULES.(economic analysis)(Statistical Data Included)
October 1, 2000... Andrew P. Blake [*]
This paper discusses the role of forecasts in the control of inflation. Much has been made of variations on the so-called Taylor rule for inflation control. Forward-looking Taylor rules are reconciled with optimal...
OPEN ISSUES ON THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE STABILITY AND GROWTH PACT.(Euro Area)(Statistical Data Included)
October 1, 2000... Bertrand Martinot [*]
Now that the budget deficits in the Euro Area are approaching balance, the Stability and Growth Pact (SGP) looks like a largely non-constraining institutional framework with little impact on national fiscal policies....
AN EVALUATION OF MONETARY TARGETING REGIMES.(Euro Area)(Statistical Data Included)
October 1, 2000... Karen Dury [*]
The policy regime in Europe has put the economy on 'auto-pilot'. We investigate different designs for the required feedback mechanisms. The uncertainty facing an economy depends on the pattern of shocks it faces, the...
Gross domestic product.
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Output volumes.
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Monthly economic indicators.
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CBI Industrial Trends Survey: manufacturing.
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UK labour market.
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Prices.
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Companies.
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Household sector.
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Fixed investment and inventories.
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Financial indicators.
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UK balance of payments.
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Exports and imports.
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Gross product and productivity in industrial countries and OECD Seasonally adjusted, Index numbers, 1994=100.
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Unemployment in industrial countries and OECD.
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Earnings and prices in OECD.
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Volume of exports [a].
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Current balances and interest rates.
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Volume of imports [a].
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Competitiveness and commodity prices.
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Exchange rates [a].
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