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National Institute Economic Review articles from January 2007
Quarterly publication publishes research, commentary and forecasts on economic and social issues, includingeconomic modeling and analysis, productivity and competitiveness and education and training.
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National Institute Economic Review archives from January 2007
The world economy.(AT A GLANCE ...)(Statistical data)
January 1, 2007... * The world economy will continue to expand vigorously, growing by 5.0 per cent in 2007 and by 4.8 per cent in 2008.
* American GDP growth will slow to 2.9 per cent in 2007 and 2.5 per cent in 2008.
* Economic growth in the Euro Area...
The Stern review's economics of climate change.(COMMENTARY)
January 1, 2007... When economists analyse public policy, they take two sets of considerations into account. First, they identify the ways in which the world might work (the ways in which people would choose under various circumstances, the pathways Nature...
Global growth differentials.(THE WORLD ECONOMY)(Statistical data)
January 1, 2007... Our estimates indicate that global output, measured in terms of purchasing power parities, expanded by 5.3 per cent in 2006. This is one of the fastest rates of growth recorded in the last 35 years, when global growth averaged 3.7 per cent per...
Inflation dynamics in North America.(THE WORLD ECONOMY)(Statistical data)
January 1, 2007... Output growth moderated in the third quarter in the US and Canada, while Mexican GDP expanded by 1.3 per cent relative to the previous quarter. Canada experienced a sharp reduction in the contribution of net trade to GDP growth as well as a...
Growth rebalancing toward consumption in Asia.(The World Economy)(Statistical data)
January 1, 2007... The major economies of East Asia, with a notable exception of Japan, continued to expand briskly in the third quarter of 2006. Output in China grew by 10.3 per cent relative to a year earlier, Korea expanded by 4.8 per cent, Taiwan grew by 5...
Euro area: slowing down in 2007.(The World Economy)(Statistical data)
January 1, 2007... On 1 January 2007, Slovenia joined the Euro Area. With Slovenia's entry, the Euro Area has increased the number of its member states to thirteen. However, because of the size of Slovenia's population (0.6 per cent of the Euro Area population),...
Monetary policy and global imbalances*.
January 1, 2007... The US current account imbalance has stayed stubbornly high despite the fall in the dollar that we have seen since the beginning of 2003. The exchange rate has fallen by around 15 per cent on average, mainly between the first quarter of 2003...
UK economy forecast: the production of this forecast is supported by the Institute's Corporate Members: Abbey plc, Bank of England, Barclays Bank plc, Ernst and Young LLP, Marks and Spencer plc, The National Grid Company plc, Nomura Research Institute Europe Ltd, Rio Tinto plc, Unilever plc and Watson Wyatt LLP.(Statistical data)
January 1, 2007... Introduction
The economy continues to expand at a robust pace (figure 1). We now expect GDP to rise by 23/4 per cent in 2007 after similar growth in 2006. This is an upward revision to our forecast for economic growth in 2006 and 2007 of...
Retirement and saving.(NiGEM model)
January 1, 2007... The UK is regarded as having too low a level of savings, both to maintain the capital stock and to provide an adequate level of income in retirement without an increase in taxation. Pomerantz and Weale (2005) have a discussion of the savings...
Economic growth in Europe.(Statistical data)
January 1, 2007... Economic growth in Europe has been disappointing in the past few years, especially when compared to the US, and in addition growth in the UK has looked more robust than that in the large continental economies. There could be many factors that...
Recent European economic growth: why can't it be like the golden age?
January 1, 2007... This paper evaluates claims that European productivity growth has been undermined by weak competition and excessive regulation and taxation. The argument has some validity in the context of the information and communications technology (ICT)...
An analysis of EU growth trends, with a particular focus on Germany, France, Italy and the UK.
January 1, 2007... Since the mid-1990s the growth performance of the Euro Area as a whole, despite some good individual country performances, has failed to keep pace with developments elsewhere in the EU (including the UK) and also in the US. This is especially...
Decomposing growth in France, Germany and the united kingdom using growth accounting and production function approaches.
January 1, 2007... This paper uses Growth Accounting and Production Function Analysis to decompose the factors behind differences in growth between the UK, France and Germany between 1992 and 2005. Most of the growth differential between the United Kingdom,...
Rapidly rising energy prices: does the driver of the energy market imbalance matter?
January 1, 2007... This paper uses a variant of the IMF's Global Economy Model (GEM) to examine the macroeconomic impact of the rise in energy prices since the end of 2003 in the Euro Area, the United Kingdom and the United Sates. The analysis illustrates how the...