Economic Outlook USA articles

Recent articles from Economic Outlook USA

The expansion of 1982:4 - ?: history and forecasts.
December 22, 1989... The Expansion of 1982:4 - ?: History and Forecasts Recoveries and Slowdowns Among the long observed "stylized facts" of business cycle history is the positive correlation between the amplitudes of a contraction and the subsequent expansion. Deep declines tend to be followed by large...

The decade of the 90s: economic prospects and problems.
December 22, 1989... The Decade of the 90s: Economic Prospects and Problems In the final issue of ECONOMIC OUTLOOK USA, it seems appropriate to leave our readers with some perspectives on economic and social events during the last several decades, and with some speculations about the future. In this article, I...

The outlook for consumption in 1990: coasting into the eighth year of expansion.
December 22, 1989... The Outlook for Consumption in 1990: Coasting into the Eighth Year of Expansion Confidence Remains High The latest Survey of Consumers indicates that consumer confidence has remained largely unchanged at the high levels recorded throughout most of the current expansion. The Index of...

Generations and collective memories: part 2.
December 22, 1989... GENERATION and Collective Memories: Part 2 Reasons for Mentioning Events/Changes Although our search for connections between cohorts and remembered events has been generally successful, even where such differences are sharpest there are always a fair number of people outside the modal...

The U.S. economic outlook for 1989-90: May 1989 forecast update.
June 22, 1989... The U.S. Economic Outlook for 1989-90: May 1989 Forecast Update Introduction Preliminary data for the first quarter of 1989 indicate that real GNP grew at a 5.5 percent annual rate following the 2.4 percent increase posted for the fourth quarter of 1988. The effect of last year's drought...